Top 10 List of Top 10 Lists

It is that time of year when everyone likes to make their predictions for next year.  IREC just released our own list (see the previous post).  We thought it would be fun to round up the security-related prediction lists we could find (many are not actually “top 10” but some other number).  By gathering them in one place, we can compare and contrast them to see how much agreement there is (not much).  Also, it will make it easy to come back in 12 months and see who was the most accurate!

  1. IBM and Sophos
  2. Websense
  3. Symantec
  4. Zscaler
  5. Symantec (again)
  6. IBM (again)
  7. Lee Clemmer
  8. Fortinet
  9. Mark Weatherford, CISO, State of California
  10. Dan Kaminsky (same article as above)

Edited to add 11 and 12: Howard Schmidt, former eBay CISO and vice chairman of the President’s Critical Infrastructure Protection Board, and the folks from ICSA Labs.

A few trends that showed up on several lists:

  • Increasing use of social media sites as an attack vector
  • Cyber criminals increasingly use “the cloud” as a resource (use it legitimately, not an attack vector)
  • MacOS-targeted malware increases, resulting in a stronger  security stance at Apple
  • The cloud will be a big security risk. Or it will make things better.  Or something.

Edited to add a new common trend: Windows 7 will contain security flaws.

I don’t think it’s a knock on Microsoft to say that predicting that software as complex and multifaceted as Windows 7 will have security flaws is about as useful as predicting that the sun will come up tomorrow.

Edited to add 13: another 10 from Verizon Business’ Security Blog. Two of their predictions are in direct opposition to the trends we pulled from the other lists. They believe Win7 will be surprisingly robust, and that Macs will not be a special target of attacks.

Howard Schmidt, former eBay CISO and vice chairman of the President’s Critical Infrastructure Protection Board, and the folks from ICSA Labs

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